Editorial: El Nino anticipated

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Thursday, April 24, 2014

APRIL is said to be a period not suited for predicting whether El Nino will be experienced in a specific year. But this early, scientists are worried about the warming temperatures below the sea that are already warmer than ever recorded.

Global weather forecasters, however, are still giving it sometime – until June to check if these warm waters will make it to the surface and create what the science world is fearing: the biggest global weather story of 2014.

It’s not yet final, but the indicators are disturbing. We simply have to keep a keen eye on the developments, especially since it is projected that should things turn out for the worse, we will know by June, just more than a month from now.


Whether everything will make a turn for the worst, we have to prepare our agriculture sector. Our farmers, tucked in the uplands of Davao City, and outlying provinces, will not be able to keep a close watch on how the sea surface temperature will turn out, and we doubt if they will have any interest in it since these are technical things that very few would want to dig their teeth in. The more important side of this is that we, and hopefully our agricultural officials, understand and should know.

Are we ready if indeed all these warming temperatures beneath the sea surface rises up and becomes the “biggest global weather story of 2014”?

We truly hope because we cannot afford to suffer through a long drought and see our poor farmers shackled deeper in debt and poverty.

How bad can this be should the warming waters rise to the surface and turn into a full-fledged El Nino phenomenon? It can shift weather patterns worldwide. It can even make the next two years the hottest we have ever known. Will our farmlands, marine life, and people survive this? We hope so.

But we have a better batting average of survival and continued growth and development if we prepare and keep our eye on all weather forecast as they come.

Published in the Sun.Star Davao newspaper on April 24, 2014.


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