Karlo sustains lead in new SWS survey

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Saturday, May 4, 2013

RE-ELECTIONIST representative Karlo B. Nograles of the city’s first district is way ahead of closest challenger Luis Bonguyan in voter’s preference, a latest survey by the Social Weather Station (SWS) showed.

The results of the SWS survey, which were just released on Friday, marked for the first time the prestigious polling outfit conducted a local survey and released its results publicly. The results will be posted in the SWS website this week.

The results released by SWS showed Nograles on top of Bonguyan with a whooping lead of 37 points. Nograles got 66 percent compared to 29 percent of Bonguyan, a former vice mayor.


The survey, conducted April 5 to 7 in Davao City, has a confidence level of 95 percent, according to SWS.

SWS also said its survey on the first district congressional contest had a margin of error of ± 6 percent. This means that at best, Nograles’s lead over Bonguyan could reach 43 percent, or a high preference rating of 72 percent for the incumbent compared to only 29 percent for the former vice mayor. At its worst, Bonguyan could whittle down his deficit to 31 percent which is rather tall figure to surmount.

The SWS survey did not release ratings for the other major positions of city mayor and vice mayor because the candidates are unopposed in the elections. The survey was also limited to the first district, the city’s central district.

The SWS findings practically agreed with the survey conducted by the Ateneo de Davao University (AdDU). In the AdDU survey released last week, first district congressman Nograles led former vice mayor Bonguyan, 58 percent to 26 percent.

Meanwhile, SWS also released yesterday its latest findings on the degree of public satisfaction towards the country’s top officials.

Published in the Sun.Star Davao newspaper on May 04, 2013.

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